Final polling average · latest poll
2026 Generic Congressional Ballot
Democrats lead Republicans 50.8% to 42.8% on the generic congressional ballot, according to the ElectionsUSA average of 119 polls, as of November 3, 2026.
Weighted average of 119 polls (of 546 on record), as of November 3, 2026. Half-life 14 days. Method · JSON
Trend
Dots are polls; the line is the average as computed on each date- Democrats 50.8%
- Republicans 42.8%
Final average vs. House popular vote (pending)
| Measure | Democrats | Republicans | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Final ElectionsUSA average, Nov 3 | 50.8% | 42.8% | D +8.0 |
| National House popular vote | pending | pending | pending |
The House popular vote is still being counted. When a national count is available we add it here, labelled preliminary until states certify, and score every poll from the final three weeks on the 2026 pollster scorecard. Poll closing times and each state's official results are on the 2026 midterms page.
Questions about this average
Who leads the generic congressional ballot?
Democrats lead Republicans 50.8% to 42.8% on the generic congressional ballot, according to the ElectionsUSA average of 119 polls, as of November 3, 2026.
How is this average calculated?
Every poll is weighted by how recent it is (a 14-day half-life), its sample size, the pollster's track record and how often the firm publishes, so a daily tracker can't dominate. The method is fully described on the methodology page and can be reproduced from the open data. Read the method.
Which polls are included?
Every public national poll we can source, 546 on record for this page and 119 carrying weight today. Each row in the table links to the pollster's own release; adult, registered-voter and likely-voter polls all count, but a poll released for several populations counts once (likely voters first).
How often is it updated?
Automatically, every six hours: new polls are collected, checked and added, and the average and chart are recomputed.
Can I use this data?
Yes. Every poll is free to download as CSV, and every average as JSON, under CC BY 4.0. Please credit ElectionsUSA with a link. Download the data.
Latest 50 polls (of 546)
CSV →| Pollster | Dates | Sample | 538 grade | Democrats | Republicans | Margin | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Zogby Strategies ↗ | Nov 1–2, 2026 | 1,001 LV | B/C | 53% | 47% | Democrats +6.0 | 3.2% |
| Reuters / Ipsos ↗ | Oct 28 – Nov 2, 2026 | 1,212 LV | B- | 52% | 44% | Democrats +8.0 | 1.9% |
| Focaldata / Financial Times ↗ | Oct 30 – Nov 1, 2026 | 2,090 LV | — | 52% | 45% | Democrats +7.0 | 2.7% |
| I&I / TIPP Insights (R) ↗ | Oct 27–30, 2026 | 1,158 LV | A- | 52% | 42% | Democrats +10.0 | 4.2% |
| ActiVote ↗ | Oct 22–30, 2026 | 2,000 LV | — | 53.5% | 46.5% | Democrats +7.0 | 1.7% |
| Hart Research Associates (D) / Public Opinion Strategies (R) ↗ | Oct 28–30, 2026 | 1,000 RV | B+ | 52% | 45% | Democrats +7.0 | 2.8% |
| Big Data Poll ↗ | Oct 27–30, 2026 | 3,214 LV | F | 51% | 39% | Democrats +12.0 | 0.5% |
| YouGov ↗ | Oct 27–30, 2026 | 3,915 LV | B+ | 53% | 44% | Democrats +9.0 | 1.6% |
| Ipsos ↗ | Oct 20–28, 2026 | 1,209 LV | B- | 50% | 44% | Democrats +6.0 | 1.5% |
| Tufts University / YouGov ↗ | Oct 23–27, 2026 | 499 LV | B/C | 52% | 40% | Democrats +12.0 | 2.4% |
| Emerson College ↗ | Oct 24–26, 2026 | 1,000 LV | A- | 52% | 42% | Democrats +10.0 | 2.6% |
| Harvard / Harris Poll/HarrisX ↗ | Oct 24–26, 2026 | LV | — | 52% | 48% | Democrats +4.0 | 1.6% |
| The Economist / YouGov ↗ | Oct 23–26, 2026 | 1,263 LV | B+ | 50% | 41% | Democrats +9.0 | 1.3% |
| Reuters / Ipsos ↗ | Oct 22–26, 2026 | 1,164 LV | B- | 53% | 44% | Democrats +9.0 | 1.3% |
| NPR / PBS/Marist University ↗ | Oct 19–26, 2026 | LV | A | 52% | 44% | Democrats +8.0 | 2.6% |
| Cygnal (R) ↗ | Oct 23–24, 2026 | 1,500 LV | A | 52% | 43% | Democrats +9.0 | 2.9% |
| CBS / YouGov ↗ | Oct 21–23, 2026 | 1,749 LV | B+ | 53% | 45% | Democrats +8.0 | 1.2% |
| Echelon Insights ↗ | Oct 16–23, 2026 | 3,644 LV | A/B | 51% | 46% | Democrats +5.0 | 3.0% |
| Prolific ↗ | Oct 21–22, 2026 | 713 LV | — | 53% | 42% | Democrats +11.0 | 2.1% |
| Targoz Market Research ↗ | Oct 20–22, 2026 | 1,118 LV | C | 49% | 46% | Democrats +3.0 | 2.4% |
| Clarity Campaign Labs ↗ | Oct 15–21, 2026 | 1,016 LV | B/C | 52% | 44% | Democrats +8.0 | 1.8% |
| ActiVote ↗ | Oct 15–21, 2026 | 1,000 LV | — | 53% | 47% | Democrats +6.0 | 1.0% |
| The Rainey Center ↗ | Oct 14–20, 2026 | 1,279 RV | — | 52% | 44% | Democrats +8.0 | 1.8% |
| Morning Consult ↗ | Oct 13–20, 2026 | 2,050 RV | B- | 48% | 42% | Democrats +6.0 | 1.1% |
| Focaldata / Financial Times ↗ | Oct 16–20, 2026 | 1,594 LV | — | 53% | 44% | Democrats +9.0 | 1.5% |
| Pennsylvania State University / YouGov ↗ | Oct 14–20, 2026 | 724 LV | — | 47% | 43% | Democrats +4.0 | 1.9% |
| The Economist / YouGov ↗ | Oct 19–20, 2026 | 1,312 LV | B+ | 50% | 43% | Democrats +7.0 | 1.0% |
| Reuters / Ipsos ↗ | Oct 16–19, 2026 | 1,279 RV | B- | 47% | 35% | Democrats +12.0 | 1.0% |
| The New York Times / Siena University ↗ | Oct 12–19, 2026 | 3,494 LV | A+ | 52% | 41% | Democrats +11.0 | 2.9% |
| CNN / SSRS ↗ | Oct 15–18, 2026 | 1,206 RV | C+ | 49% | 39% | Democrats +10.0 | 1.6% |
| Hart Research Associates (D) / Public Opinion Strategies (R) ↗ | Oct 14–18, 2026 | 1,000 RV | B+ | 52% | 45% | Democrats +7.0 | 1.5% |
| RMG Research ↗ | Oct 13–14, 2026 | 2,000 RV | B- | 51% | 43% | Democrats +8.0 | 1.6% |
| ActiVote ↗ | Oct 4–14, 2026 | 1,000 LV | — | 53% | 47% | Democrats +6.0 | 0.7% |
| The Washington Post / ABC News/Ipsos ↗ | Oct 9–13, 2026 | 2,032 LV | B- | 52% | 44% | Democrats +8.0 | 0.8% |
| The Economist / YouGov ↗ | Oct 10–12, 2026 | 1,403 RV | B+ | 46% | 39% | Democrats +7.0 | 0.7% |
| Beacon Research (D) / Shaw & Co. Research (R) ↗ | Oct 9–12, 2026 | 1,202 RV | A | 54% | 45% | Democrats +9.0 | 1.8% |
| SurveyMonkey ↗ | Sep 28 – Oct 12, 2026 | 17,649 RV | C | 55% | 45% | Democrats +10.0 | 1.6% |
| Morning Consult ↗ | Oct 5–11, 2026 | 17,654 LV | B- | 50% | 43% | Democrats +7.0 | 0.7% |
| Cygnal (R) ↗ | Oct 7–10, 2026 | 1,500 LV | A | 51% | 42% | Democrats +9.0 | 1.4% |
| TrueDot ↗ | Oct 5–9, 2026 | 974 LV | — | 49% | 42% | Democrats +7.0 | 1.3% |
| Reuters / Ipsos ↗ | Sep 30 – Oct 5, 2026 | 3,526 RV | B- | 44% | 37% | Democrats +7.0 | 0.5% |
| Focaldata / Financial Times ↗ | Oct 2–5, 2026 | 2,201 LV | — | 52% | 44% | Democrats +8.0 | 0.7% |
| The Economist / YouGov ↗ | Oct 2–5, 2026 | 1,173 LV | B+ | 51% | 40% | Democrats +11.0 | 0.4% |
| University of Massachusetts Lowell / YouGov ↗ | Oct 2–4, 2026 | 1,000 LV | A- | 52% | 43% | Democrats +9.0 | 1.5% |
| Morning Consult ↗ | Sep 28 – Oct 4, 2026 | 17,659 LV | B- | 50% | 43% | Democrats +7.0 | 0.5% |
| Pew Research Center ↗ | Sep 28 – Oct 4, 2026 | 3,917 RV | B/C | 44% | 36% | Democrats +8.0 | 1.3% |
| Cygnal (R) ↗ | Oct 1–2, 2026 | 1,500 LV | A | 52% | 43% | Democrats +9.0 | 1.0% |
| ActiVote ↗ | Sep 22 – Oct 2, 2026 | 1,000 LV | — | 52% | 48% | Democrats +4.0 | 0.4% |
| CBS News / YouGov ↗ | Sep 30 – Oct 2, 2026 | 1,572 LV | B+ | 54% | 45% | Democrats +9.0 | 0.4% |
| I&I / TIPP Insights (R) ↗ | Sep 29 – Oct 1, 2026 | 1,328 RV | A- | 46% | 42% | Democrats +4.0 | 1.1% |
The page shows the latest 50. All 546 polls, with weights, are in the JSON; every poll and population is in polls.csv.
Click a pollster for its accuracy record and every poll it has released; ↗ opens the poll's source. Rows marked ⓘ carry a note (for example, fieldwork dates inferred from press coverage). Weight is the poll's share of the current average after recency, sample-size, pollster-quality and frequency adjustments.
About this average
The generic ballot asks which party's candidate for Congress a respondent would support. It is a national number and does not map directly onto seats: because of district geography a party usually needs a national lead of a few points to be favoured to win the House.
Something wrong? Every row links to its source. Report an error through the corrections page and it will be fixed in the data, not just on the page.