{ "race_id": "pres-2028-vance-buttigieg", "title": "2028 Presidential Election Polls: Vance vs. Buttigieg", "as_of": "2026-11-05", "method": "https://electionsusa.org/methodology/", "average": { "JD Vance": 38.3, "Pete Buttigieg": 41.1 }, "margin": -2.8, "n_polls_weighted": 2, "n_polls_total": 4, "trend": { "JD Vance": [ [ "2025-10-01", 41.0 ], [ "2025-10-04", 41.0 ], [ "2025-10-07", 41.0 ], [ "2025-10-10", 41.0 ], [ "2025-10-13", 41.0 ], [ "2025-10-16", 41.0 ], [ "2025-10-19", 41.0 ], [ "2025-10-22", 41.0 ], [ "2025-10-25", 41.0 ], [ "2025-10-28", 41.0 ], [ "2025-10-31", 41.0 ], [ "2025-11-03", 41.0 ], [ "2025-11-06", 41.0 ], [ "2025-11-09", 41.0 ], [ "2025-11-12", 41.0 ], [ "2025-11-15", 41.0 ], [ "2025-11-18", 41.0 ], [ "2025-11-21", 41.0 ], [ "2025-11-24", 41.0 ], [ "2025-11-27", 41.0 ], [ "2025-11-30", 41.0 ], [ "2025-12-03", 41.0 ], [ "2025-12-06", 41.0 ], [ "2025-12-09", 41.0 ], [ "2025-12-12", 41.0 ], [ "2025-12-15", 41.0 ], [ "2025-12-18", 41.0 ], [ "2025-12-21", 41.0 ], [ 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41.1 ], [ "2026-10-29", 41.1 ], [ "2026-11-01", 41.1 ], [ "2026-11-04", 41.1 ], [ "2026-11-05", 41.1 ] ] }, "polls": [ { "pollster": "The Bulwark", "sponsor": "Pablo Torre Finds Out/YouGov", "dates": "Oct 10\u201314, 2026", "end_date": "2026-10-14", "sample": "1,417 A", "grade": "B+", "weight": 71.5, "vals": { "JD Vance": 36.0, "Pete Buttigieg": 38.0 }, "margin": -2.0, "margin_label": "Buttigieg +2.0", "source_url": "https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/The_Bulwark_x_Pablo_Torre_Finds_Out_poll_results.pdf", "notes": "" }, { "pollster": "Emerson College", "sponsor": "", "dates": "Aug 16\u201317, 2026", "end_date": "2026-08-17", "sample": "1,000 LV", "grade": "A-", "weight": 28.3, "vals": { "JD Vance": 44.0, "Pete Buttigieg": 49.0 }, "margin": -5.0, "margin_label": "Buttigieg +5.0", "source_url": "https://emersoncollegepolling.com/august-2026-national-poll/", "notes": "" }, { "pollster": "On Point", "sponsor": "SoCal Strategies", "dates": "Aug 18, 2025", "end_date": "2025-08-18", "sample": "700 A", "grade": "\u2014", "weight": 0.1, "vals": { "JD Vance": 37.0, "Pete Buttigieg": 41.0 }, "margin": -4.0, "margin_label": "Buttigieg +4.0", "source_url": "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1Bj9_tUbMG1yCnME1rc7ggQF7qt8mmxetIfD7bQL167w/edit?gid=1183487657#gid=1183487657", "notes": "" }, { "pollster": "Emerson College", "sponsor": "", "dates": "Jul 21\u201322, 2025", "end_date": "2025-07-22", "sample": "1,400 RV", "grade": "A-", "weight": 0.1, "vals": { "JD Vance": 43.9, "Pete Buttigieg": 43.1 }, "margin": 0.7999999999999972, "margin_label": "Vance +0.8", "source_url": "https://emersoncollegepolling.com/july-2025-national-poll/", "notes": "" } ] }